Despite XRP’s beaten-down price of $0.60 against Bitcoin, indicators like the Relative Strength Index and Bollinger Bands suggest a major bullish run may be forthcoming. According to analyst Tony Severino, founder of CoinChartist, historical metrics predict a bull run when XRP’s metrics align as they currently do.
XRP Price Bollinger Bands Analysis
Bollinger Bands is a technical analysis tool that measures market volatility. The bands are tightening for XRP on a monthly time frame, which historically indicates a significant price movement is imminent. Previous instances of such tight squeezes in Bollinger Bands have led to massive price rallies for XRP.
They consist of a middle band (a moving average) and two outer bands that adjust based on the cryptocurrency’s price volatility. When these bands meet, it indicates lower volatility, often preceding a period of higher volatility. Severino points out that XRP’s current Bollinger Bands are tighter than they were before the cryptocurrency’s extraordinary 60,000% rally that concluded in 2018.
Historically, Bollinger Bands have often predicted large price changes. Bitcoin had a similar scenario last August, followed by an 187% price spike. Bollinger Bands are currently showing past signals, thus analysts forecast another major jump in XRP price.
Current Market Conditions and XRP’s Position
Currently, XRP is trading at $0.5988, making it the sixth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. It recently faced a decline of 1.5%, aligning with broader market trends where Bitcoin is down over 4%. Despite this drop, the tight Bollinger Bands suggest a potential for substantial price fluctuations shortly. He said that the market had an explosive rally, reaching.
Impact of SEC v. Ripple Case
XRP is also fluctuating due to the SEC v. Ripple lawsuits. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse hinted at a resolution, although he did not elaborate. This ongoing court battle creates uncertainty and price volatility.
Despite its present position, XRP remains 82% behind its 2018 peak. This big decline has made XRP one of the worst-performing cryptos. But looking at XRP’s tight Bollinger Bands and potential SEC resolution are generating a highly anticipated breakout scenario. Yet, investors should constantly be careful and aware of crypto developments.
Signs of an Upcoming Breakout
Joining the debate, Crypto analyst Harry, Known as HaraldoXRP in X notes that XRP’s monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is about to break a downtrend that has persisted since late 2017, following XRP’s all-time high of $3.30 in January 2018.
Historically, XRP has shown significant rallies after Bitcoin halving events. Post the May 2016 halving, XRP surged to $0.31 in January 2018, and after the April 2020 halving, it reached $1.96 a year later. With the latest Bitcoin halving in April 2024, analysts expect a similar uptrend for XRP, especially with the imminent RSI breakout.