Following a rally of over 20% rally in the past three weeks, which brought Bitcoin up from $53,500 to around $64,100, the cryptocurrency seems to be catching its breath. Recent market indicators are showing positive signs, suggesting Bitcoin might be on the verge of a significant price surge, possibly reaching new highs.
What lies ahead?
Looking Back at History
Julien Bittel, the head of macro research at Global Macro Investor, draws attention to the historically tight Bollinger Bands on Bitcoin’s weekly chart. This rare compression, which has only occurred twice before, typically precedes significant price increases.
Bittel’s analysis reveals an unusual pattern in Bitcoin’s weekly Bollinger Bands. These bands, which measure market volatility, are now “crazy tight” by historical standards. This phenomenon has happened only twice in Bitcoin’s history—first in April 2016 and again in July 2023. Both instances were followed by substantial price hikes over the subsequent twelve months.
Based on these historical patterns, Bittel suggests that Bitcoin could experience a similar upward movement this time around. He predicts that Bitcoin’s price could rise to a range of $140,000 to $190,000.
This isn’t the first time in this bull market that narrow Bollinger Bands have suggested a major upside for Bitcoin. Similar conditions in late 2023 preceded a significant price increase, which occurred just before the launch of U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
The Boring Zone
Despite a sluggish start for the crypto markets in Q2, Bittel advises investors not to become complacent. He characterizes the current period as “The Boring Zone,” implying that the low activity and minimal changes are merely the calm before a potential storm.
Bittel believes that this “Boring Zone” will soon give way to what he calls “The Banana Zone.” This term suggests that significant price movements are on the cusp. He advises investors to stay alert and ready for upcoming changes that could lead to major gains.
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Will Bitcoin reach new heights or is this just another false alarm? Let us know your thoughts.